Predictive modeling for mitigating fugitive emissions in industrial valve seal stacks: a comparative analysis of configuration efficacies (2024)

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  • Ahmed Nazmus Sakib https://ror.org/02aqsxs83Department of Aerospace and Mechanical Engineering, University of Oklahoma, Norman, USA

    https://ror.org/02aqsxs83Department of Aerospace and Mechanical Engineering, University of Oklahoma, Norman, USA

    Predictive modeling for mitigating fugitive emissions in industrial valve seal stacks: a comparative analysis of configuration efficacies (1)http://orcid.org/0009-0007-7588-7143

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  • Md Monjur Hossain Bhuiyan https://ror.org/02aqsxs83Department of Aerospace and Mechanical Engineering, University of Oklahoma, Norman, USA

    https://ror.org/02aqsxs83Department of Aerospace and Mechanical Engineering, University of Oklahoma, Norman, USA

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  • Alfredo Becerril Corral https://ror.org/02aqsxs83Department of Aerospace and Mechanical Engineering, University of Oklahoma, Norman, USA

    https://ror.org/02aqsxs83Department of Aerospace and Mechanical Engineering, University of Oklahoma, Norman, USA

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  • Zahed Siddique https://ror.org/02aqsxs83Department of Aerospace and Mechanical Engineering, University of Oklahoma, Norman, USA

    https://ror.org/02aqsxs83Department of Aerospace and Mechanical Engineering, University of Oklahoma, Norman, USA

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  • Monsur Chowdhury https://ror.org/02bjhwk41Department of Statistics, University of Georgia, Georgia, USA

    https://ror.org/02bjhwk41Department of Statistics, University of Georgia, Georgia, USA

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Neural Computing and ApplicationsVolume 36Issue 16Jun 2024pp 9263–9281https://doi.org/10.1007/s00521-024-09584-3

Published:25 February 2024Publication History

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Predictive modeling for mitigating fugitive emissions in industrial valve seal stacks: a comparative analysis of configuration efficacies (2)

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Abstract

This study investigates the development and application of advanced predictive modeling techniques to address the critical environmental challenge of fugitive emission mitigation in industrial valve seal stacks, specifically in the context of the oil and gas sector. Emphasizing the reduction of greenhouse gas emissions, the research systematically evaluates the effectiveness of multiple seal-stack configurations in minimizing emissions. The experimental framework utilizes argon gas as a surrogate for methane to simulate real-world scenarios. The research employs a comprehensive suite of predictive models, including advanced statistical and machine learning algorithms such as linear regression, ridge regression, Lasso (least absolute shrinkage and selection operator), MARS (multivariate adaptive regression splines), and elastic net. These models are rigorously tested to ascertain their predictive accuracy in estimating the emission levels of two different seal-stack arrangements. Each seal stack contains five individual seals of PTFE and AFLAS in different sequences. The MARS model, identified for its superior performance, is then applied to predict the efficacy of various seal-stack configurations against the stringent ISO 15848–1 standards for allowable emission limits. The results of this comparative analysis offer critical insights into the optimal combination of seal stacks, contributing significantly to the advancement of environmental sustainability practices in industrial applications. This research not only provides a methodological framework for predictive analysis in this domain but also underscores the importance of integrating environmental considerations into industrial design and operation.

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      Predictive modeling for mitigating fugitive emissions in industrial valve seal stacks: a comparative analysis of configuration efficacies (63)

      Neural Computing and Applications Volume 36, Issue 16

      Jun 2024

      698 pages

      ISSN:0941-0643

      EISSN:1433-3058

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      © The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer-Verlag London Ltd., part of Springer Nature 2024. Springer Nature or its licensor (e.g. a society or other partner) holds exclusive rights to this article under a publishing agreement with the author(s) or other rightsholder(s); author self-archiving of the accepted manuscript version of this article is solely governed by the terms of such publishing agreement and applicable law.

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          Publication History

          • Published: 25 February 2024
          • Accepted: 5 February 2024
          • Received: 7 November 2023

          Author Tags

          • Fugitive emission
          • Gas leakage
          • Argon
          • Supervised machine learning
          • Predictive model

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